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2024-12-14 00:25:52

The Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not high, but it is also open to raising interest rates this month. According to informed sources, Bank of Japan officials believe that there is almost no cost to wait before raising interest rates, and they are still open to raising interest rates next week, depending on data and market development. According to people familiar with the matter, even if the Bank of Japan decides to wait until January next year or a little longer before raising interest rates, the relevant authorities believe that this will not bring huge costs, because there are signs that there is little risk of inflation overshoot. According to people familiar with the matter, officials think it is only a matter of time before the next rate hike, because the economy and inflation are in line with their forecasts. According to people familiar with the matter, officials will make a final decision only after carefully evaluating the data and financial markets before announcing the policy decision in December. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and his committee will discuss next week whether it is necessary to raise the benchmark interest rate from 0.25%. Unlike the situation in July, the yen did not show a strong weakness, so the Bank of Japan believes that the risk of the yen pushing up inflation has weakened.Brent crude oil exceeded $73/barrel, up 1.57% in the day.The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.


The China Securities Association held a meeting of directors and all members of the regional equity market professional committee, and the meeting of directors and all members of the regional equity market professional committee of the Securities Association was held in Chongqing on December 5th. The regional equity market should further thoroughly implement the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee, take the new "National Nine Articles" as a guide, persist in comprehensively deepening reforms, strive to break down institutional and institutional obstacles and structural problems, explore innovative pilot projects according to local conditions, develop new quality productivity, and establish a basic service system, a comprehensive financial service system and a listing standard cultivation system that are in line with local conditions and the characteristics of small and medium-sized enterprises, so as to continuously improve the comprehensive financial service capability. At the same time, the positioning function of regional equity market is still in the exploration stage, and innovation exploration in various places should pay attention to both standardization and development, and various risk prevention and control and supporting measures should be in place simultaneously.CPOPC: The price of palm oil is expected to fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 in 2025. It is reported that the Council of Palm Oil Producers (CPOPC) predicts that the price of palm oil may fluctuate in the range of RM 4,000-5,000 per ton in 2025, driven by the stagnant production in major markets, especially Indonesia and Malaysia. Deputy Secretary-General CPOPC pointed out that the current price level around RM5,000 per ton may be temporary, mainly affected by the continuous floods in Malaysia, which boosted the bullish sentiment in the market. Due to the aging plantations, unpredictable weather and limited expansion to new plantations, it is expected that the cessation of production will tighten global supply and further push up prices.Colombia's consumer confidence index in November was -5.7, and the forecast was -4.8.


Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.HSBC is studying plans to cut costs by at least $3 billion. On December 11th, it was reported that HSBC Holdings was studying plans to cut costs by at least $3 billion. According to people familiar with the matter, HSBC told managers last week that its reform would not be completed until June 2025. These people said that the total cost savings are still in progress, but executives hope that this work will help them reduce their expenses by at least $3 billion.Tesla Applied for the trademark of robot action toy, and the enterprise search app showed that Tesla Co., Ltd. recently applied for registering a trademark of "TESLA BOT ACTION FIGURE", which is classified as fitness equipment internationally. At present, the trademark status is in the process of registration application. According to media reports, recently, Tesla robot action toys were sold in official stores for 40 dollars. According to the official description, the toy is a "mini version" of Optimus Gen 2 humanoid robot, which is made in a ratio of 1:10.

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